Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.007960 0.009304 0.010905 0.012981 0.015645 0.019012 0.023695
2025-10-12 0.006342 0.007990 0.010178 0.013401 0.018225 0.025543 0.038330
2025-10-19 0.005294 0.006977 0.009372 0.013208 0.019604 0.030757 0.054427
2025-10-26 0.004664 0.006368 0.008924 0.013312 0.021346 0.037283 0.078549
2025-11-02 0.004132 0.005789 0.008380 0.013074 0.022345 0.042896 0.107186
2025-11-09 0.003626 0.005172 0.007656 0.012331 0.022092 0.045652 0.131968
2025-11-16 0.003245 0.004700 0.007096 0.011761 0.022004 0.048810 0.164368
2025-11-23 0.003041 0.004487 0.006941 0.011923 0.023593 0.057634 0.244454
2025-11-30 0.002813 0.004207 0.006626 0.011695 0.024178 0.063948 0.335942
2025-12-07 0.002590 0.003914 0.006250 0.011266 0.024120 0.068152 0.436369
2025-12-14 0.002427 0.003709 0.006011 0.011091 0.024701 0.075451 0.627698
2025-12-21 0.002344 0.003637 0.006016 0.011462 0.027000 0.092697 1.231375
2025-12-28 0.002303 0.003647 0.006207 0.012385 0.031729 0.131810 5.164667
2026-01-04 0.002209 0.003552 0.006179 0.012784 0.035084 0.173170 40.705474
2026-01-11 0.002076 0.003372 0.005948 0.012603 0.036242 0.203052 2080.688094
2026-01-18 0.001979 0.003251 0.005830 0.012701 0.038642 0.255302 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001869 0.003095 0.005614 0.012477 0.039580 0.298297 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001737 0.002885 0.005257 0.011781 0.038024 0.303486 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001627 0.002712 0.004970 0.011245 0.037057 0.317462 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001571 0.002645 0.004913 0.011397 0.039646 0.413632 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001498 0.002535 0.004749 0.011182 0.040238 0.479734 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001418 0.002409 0.004535 0.010779 0.039610 0.515313 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001359 0.002320 0.004402 0.010615 0.040318 0.606640 NaN